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Pakistan vs New Zealand Match Prediction & Analysis

Match Overview

The precursor to the Champions Trophy 2025 sees New Zealand and South Africa travel to Pakistan for a short tri-series. The opening match features Pakistan against the 2023 ODI World Cup semi-finalists, New Zealand. The match will be played at Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore, on February 8, 2025, at 2:30 PM IST.

NZ vs PAK


Pakistan vs New Zealand: Match Details

  • Match: Pakistan vs New Zealand, Tri-Series 2024-25
  • Date & Time: February 8, 2025 | 2:30 PM IST | 09:00 AM GMT
  • Venue: Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore
  • Live Streaming: Sony Sports, PTV Sports, Spark Sport

Pakistan vs New Zealand: Recent Head-to-Head Stats

Matches Played Pakistan Won New Zealand Won No Result
115 61 51 3
  • Recent Form (Last 6 Matches):
    • Pakistan: ✅✅✅✅✅❌
    • New Zealand: ❌✅✅❌❌✅
  • Pakistan has won 5 of the last 6 ODIs against New Zealand.

Pakistan vs New Zealand: Team Performance & Analysis

Pakistan Team Overview

Pakistan enters this series after a dominant whitewash over South Africa away from home. Prior to that, they beat Zimbabwe 2-1 in their home series. The team is currently ranked No. 3 in ODIs and has won each of its last three ODI series.

Pakistan’s Recent ODI Matches:

Opponent Result
South Africa Won 3-0
Zimbabwe Won 2-1
New Zealand Won 4-1

Pakistan Predicted Playing XI

  1. Fakhar Zaman
  2. Usman Khan
  3. Babar Azam
  4. Mohammad Rizwan (c & wk)
  5. Kamran Ghulam
  6. Salman Agha
  7. Tayyab Tahir
  8. Shaheen Shah Afridi
  9. Naseem Shah
  10. Mohammad Hasnain
  11. Haris Rauf

Key Players to Watch:

  • Mohammad Rizwan: The Pakistan captain averages 50 in his last 10 ODIs.
  • Shaheen Shah Afridi: Has 20 wickets in just 9 ODIs against New Zealand.
  • Fakhar Zaman: Needs just 41 runs to complete 1000 runs vs New Zealand.

New Zealand Team Overview

New Zealand comes into this series after a mixed run of form. They played two 3-match ODI series against Sri Lanka, winning 2-1 at home but losing 0-2 away. In their last series against Pakistan and South Africa, they suffered defeats.

New Zealand’s Recent ODI Matches:

Opponent Result
Sri Lanka (Home) Won 2-1
Sri Lanka (Away) Lost 0-2
Pakistan Lost 1-4

New Zealand Predicted Playing XI

  1. Will Young
  2. Rachin Ravindra
  3. Mark Chapman
  4. Daryl Mitchell
  5. Tom Latham (wk)
  6. Glenn Phillips
  7. Michael Bracewell
  8. Mitchell Santner (c)
  9. Nathan Smith
  10. Matt Henry
  11. Will O’Rourke

Key Players to Watch:

  • Will Young: Scored 456 runs in his last 9 ODIs at an average of 65.
  • Matt Henry: Took 9 wickets in the recent series vs Sri Lanka.
  • Rachin Ravindra: A reliable all-rounder who can be a game-changer.

Pitch & Weather Conditions at Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore

  • Average First Innings Score: 252 runs
  • Average Wickets Per Match: 9
  • Weather Forecast: Sunny, 18-22°C, with no rain expected.

Pitch Report

  • The Gaddafi Stadium pitch has remained batting-friendly with an average score of 252 runs.
  • In the last 10 ODIs, teams batting second have found chasing easier.
  • Pacers might get early swing, but the surface generally aids batters as the match progresses.

Pakistan vs New Zealand Toss Prediction

  • Pakistan has chosen to chase in all three ODIs they played at this venue in recent years.
  • Teams batting first & second have won equally (3-3) in the last 6 ODIs.
  • New Zealand might opt to bowl first to put Pakistan under pressure early.

Pakistan vs New Zealand: Top Betting Predictions

Top Batsmen Predictions

  • Mohammad Rizwan is expected to be Pakistan’s top scorer, averaging 50 in his last 10 ODIs.
  • Will Young is likely to be New Zealand’s top batsman, averaging over 65 in his last 9 ODIs.

Top Bowler Predictions

  • Shaheen Shah Afridi is Pakistan’s best bet, with two 4-wicket hauls against New Zealand.
  • Matt Henry will be key for the Kiwis, having taken wickets in 4 of his last 5 ODIs in Pakistan.

Match Winner Prediction

  • Pakistan Chance of Winning: 62%
  • New Zealand Chance of Winning: 38%
  • Odds:
    • Pakistan to Win – 1.60 (Parimatch)
    • New Zealand to Win – 2.34 (Parimatch)

Prediction:

Given their dominant form, home advantage, and recent strong record against New Zealand, Pakistan are favorites to win this match.

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