WTC Qualification Prospects

1. India (62.82%)

• Remaining Matches: 1 vs. NZ (home), 5 vs. AUS (away)
• Scenario:
  • Must win vs. NZ and at least 3-2 against AUS to secure 64.04%.
  • Losing to NZ could allow NZ to overtake if they win all matches.
  • Depends on other teams’ performance if fewer wins are achieved.

2. New Zealand (50.00%)

• Remaining Matches: 1 vs. IND (away), 3 vs. ENG (home)
• Scenario:
  • Winning all matches (64.29%) keeps them in contention.
  • Any loss drops chances significantly (57.14%).

3. South Africa (47.62%)

• Remaining Matches: 1 vs. BAN (away), 2 each vs. SL and PAK (home)
• Scenario:
  • Five wins secure a top-two spot (69.44%).
  • Four wins and a draw (63.89%) or four wins and a loss (61.11%) may suffice.

4. Australia (62.50%)

• Remaining Matches: 5 vs. IND (home), 2 vs. SL (away)
• Scenario:
  • Needs 5 wins from 7 matches to guarantee qualification (62.28%).
  • A 3-2 win vs. IND and 1-0 vs. SL ensures a spot.

5. Sri Lanka (55.56%)

• Remaining Matches: 2 vs. SA (away), 2 vs. AUS (home)
• Scenario:
  • Winning all matches (69.23%) secures a spot.
  • Three wins and one loss (61.54%) leave qualification dependent on other results.

6. England (40.79%)

• Remaining Matches: 3 vs. NZ (away)
• Scenario:
  • Max achievable percentage (48.86%) is insufficient for the final.

7. Pakistan (33.33%)

• Remaining Matches: 2 each vs. SA (away) and WI (home)
• Scenario:
  • Even with 4 wins (52.38%), cannot make the final.

8. Bangladesh (30.56%)

• Remaining Matches: 1 vs. SA (home), 2 vs. WI (away)
• Scenario:
  • Max percentage (47.92%) is insufficient for qualification.

9. West Indies (18.52%)

• Remaining Matches: 2 each vs. BAN (home) and PAK (away)
• Scenario:
  • Max percentage (43.59%) eliminates them from contention.

Summary

• Favorites: India, Australia, and South Africa have the best chances.
• Dark Horse: Sri Lanka, with all matches against contenders, can surprise.
• Out of Contention: England, Pakistan, Bangladesh, and West Indies.

India’s fate hinges on their remaining matches and rivals’ results, making this WTC cycle thrilling till the very end!

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